RupeeCase
Education . Rolling Returns vs CAGR . 2 of 3

Same fund. Same NIFTY 50. The distribution most brochures never print.

NIFTY 50 TRI rolling 5Y CAGR across every monthly start from Apr 2002 to Apr 2021. About 230 overlapping 5Y windows. Each bar is the percentile of the distribution. The headline CAGR is one window. The reality is the range.
5Y rolling CAGR . NIFTY 50 TRI . 2002 to 2026
~230 monthly start windows
Worst 5Y
-1.2
pct CAGR
5th pct
3.6
pct CAGR
25th pct
8.4
pct CAGR
Median
12.8
pct CAGR
75th pct
16.9
pct CAGR
Best 5Y
22.4
pct CAGR
The brochure number
14.0 pct
Long-run NIFTY 50 TRI CAGR. True. Also the only number on the marketing pdf.
What you actually got
-1.2 to 22.4 pct
Range across 5Y windows. A 23 percentage point spread on the same index, depending on the Monday you walked in.
Illustrative percentile cohort built from publicly available NIFTY 50 TRI monthly closes. Numbers rounded. Past performance . backtest only . not a guarantee. Method matters more than the exact decimal here.