---
title: "Track Record · Public Prediction Scorecard · RupeeCase"
description: "Every shipped Tanmay Edge episode, every prediction, every grade. Hit rate 47% on 47 graded calls across 10 episodes. No cherry-picking."
source_url: "https://www.rupeecase.com/track-record.html"
---

# Every prediction. Every grade. In public.

Each weekday morning at 8:30 IST, The Tanmay Edge ships a 5-prediction set on Indian markets. Levels, expiry pins, IV moves, chain flips. Same-day after market close, every prediction is graded against the actual print. The data is here. No cherry-picking, no edit history, no excuses.

## Aggregate

- Episodes graded: 9 (last 10 trail; EP33 TBD)
- Hits: 22 (47%)
- Partials: 3 (6%)
- Misses: 21 (45%)
- Mechanic-fired: 1 (option payoff despite different spot path)
- Total predictions: 47

## Methodology

Each episode locks 5 specific predictions before market open. The set is committed in /data/podcast-prediction-trail.json and is read-only after the open bell.

- Hit: the call printed exactly as stated. Level held, pin landed, IV moved as predicted.
- Partial: directionally right but missed magnitude or timing.
- Miss: the prediction failed.
- Mech (mechanic-fired): the option setup paid out even though the spot path was different.

Grading happens at EOD against official NSE close + BhavCopy data.

## Episodes

See live HTML page for the full sortable table: https://www.rupeecase.com/track-record.html

Source data: https://www.rupeecase.com/data/podcast-prediction-trail.json