Verifiable Track Record
Every prediction. Every grade. In public.
Each weekday morning at 8:30 IST, The Tanmay Edge ships a 5-prediction set on Indian markets.
Levels, expiry pins, IV moves, chain flips. Same-day after market close, every prediction is graded
against the actual print. The data is here. No cherry-picking, no edit history, no excuses.
Hit rate 57% on 72 graded calls across 9 episodes.
Episodes graded
9
last 10 trail
Partials
17
24% directionally right
Misses
15
21% wrong, on record
| EP |
Date |
Day |
Title |
Score |
Hit |
Part. |
Miss |
| EP75 |
2026-07-07 |
Tue |
The Support Moved Up To 24,400. The Pros Dropped Their Protection. Nifty Expiry |
TBD |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| EP74 |
2026-07-06 |
Mon |
The Foreigner Bought 1355 Crore. The Hedge Stayed On. Tuesday We Settle |
6/8 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
| EP73 |
2026-07-03 |
Fri |
The Jobs Number Was Weak. The First Move Was Relief. And Today America Is Shut |
6/8 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
| EP72 |
2026-07-02 |
Thu |
A Gap-Up Into Expiry Day: 24,000 Is The Floor And The Jobs Report Waits For Tonight |
7/8 |
7 |
0 |
1 |
| EP71 |
2026-07-01 |
Wed |
24,000 Became Resistance. IT Hit A 3 Year Low. But Most Stocks Closed Green |
5/8 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
| EP70 |
2026-06-30 |
Tue |
24,000 Broke. Volatility Is Rising. The Half-Year's Biggest Expiry Won't Pin Like They Think |
1/8 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
| EP69 |
2026-06-29 |
Mon |
24,000 Support 24,200 Resistance. The Pros Just Bought Volatility. Monthly Expiry Tomorrow |
3/8 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| EP68 |
2026-06-25 |
Thu |
24,000 Cracked, Reclaimed, Re-Floored. Now Sensex Expiry |
6/8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
| EP67 |
2026-06-24 |
Wed |
24,000 Cracked On Expiry. The Floor Is Now The Ceiling |
4/8 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
| EP66 |
2026-06-23 |
Tue |
Weekly Expiry. A 24,000 Floor Under A 24,200 Ceiling. Max Pain 24,100 |
3/8 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
Methodology
Each episode locks 5 specific predictions before market open. The set is committed in /data/podcast-prediction-trail.json (sourced from project_epNN_eod.md and project_epNN_graded.md memory files) and is read-only after the open bell.
- Hit: the call printed exactly as stated. Level held, pin landed, IV moved as predicted.
- Partial: directionally right but missed magnitude or timing.
- Miss: the prediction failed.
- Mech (mechanic-fired): the option setup paid out even though the spot path was different. Counted separately.
Grading happens at EOD against the official NSE close + BhavCopy data. The trail keeps the last 10 episodes; older history is archived in the corresponding daily and graded memory files.
Updated 2026-07-07 from /data/podcast-prediction-trail.json